Justin Fox, Columnist

Fewer People Going to College Is Good News

A hot job market is luring teenagers away from college. That’s tough for the schools, but for many, it's a better option for young people than loading up on student debt.

The economic recovery is opening up better options for young people than just college.

Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg

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During and after the recession of 2007 through 2009, college enrollment grew rapidly. That was partly just millennial-generation demographics: there were 3.5 million more 18- through 24-year-olds in the U.S. in 2010 than a decade earlier (and about 750,000 more than there are now). But the percentage of young Americans attending college and graduate school also hit an all-time high in 2011.

The brief-but-sharp 2020 recession and its aftermath are already shaping up a lot differently for college enrollment. Census Bureau data released last week, included in the above chart, shows a modest 0.7-percentage-point overall enrollment decline from the previous year as of October 2020 — albeit with an interesting divergence between men (down 1.5 points) and women (down 0.2).