Julian Lee, Columnist

Don’t Expect OPEC to Keep You Warm This Winter

The oil producer group will remain cautious about boosting supply, fearing surpluses next year.

Stay warm.

Photographer: Lukas Schulze/Getty Images Europe
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Skyrocketing prices for natural gas, coal and electricity are putting extra pressure on oil markets, boosting demand as industries and power generators seek to switch to liquid fuels to keep a lid on costs. But don’t expect the oil producers to boost supplies more rapidly over the coming winter — they’re more worried about what might happen next year.

Fuel switching from gas and coal will boost global oil demand by 500,000 barrels a day during the northern hemisphere winter. That’s the consensus view emerging from analysts at the International Energy Agency, Citigroup, UBSBloomberg Terminal, and elsewhere. But producers are sticking to production plans they made back in JulyBloomberg Terminal.