Bond Tantrum Has Big Silver Lining for Pensions
Higher interest rates will keep defined-benefit plans on track to fully meet their future obligations.
Not all bad news.
Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg
As is often the case with large market swings that evoke the specter of a “regime change,” it’s only a matter of time before pension-fund behemoths enter the conversation to quiet the hysteria. It makes sense: Defined-benefit plans are tasked with seeing through intermittent noise and focusing on longer-term trends that will influence their ability to make promised payments to retirees.
In Australia, at least, large investors aren’t buying the new narrative on resurgent inflation. “‘Markets Are Wrong’: $2 Trillion of Pension Funds Skip Bond Rout,” Bloomberg News’s Ruth Carson and Matthew Burgess wrote, based on interviews with five pension funds that help oversee parts of Australia’s A$2.9 trillion ($2.3 trillion) in retirement assets. The price-growth question is framed in terms of its implications for more than $46 trillion of pension assets globally.
