Conor Sen, Columnist

Republicans Are Close to Losing Georgia for Good

Demographics and party strategy point to the state following the path of blue Virginia, unless the GOP turns away from Trump.

Georgia Democrats have the momentum.

Photographer: Jim Watson/AFP via Getty Images

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Narrow wins by Georgia Democrats in both the presidential race and Senate runoffs give both political parties reason to hope for the next election cycle. Will the state keep getting bluer, like Virginia did? Or will it turn out to be more like North Carolina, a Southern state that veered back towards Republicans after Democrats pulled off a thin victory in 2008, leading to multiple cycles of false hope for the blue team?

A look at the data and other qualitative factors suggest Georgia is more likely to go down the same path as Virginia — and perhaps at a faster pace.