Matt Singh, Columnist

Boris Johnson Is Hoping Voters Have a One-Track Mind

If they are as tired of Brexit as he thinks, the prime minister could keep his job. But the opposition want to change the subject. 

Far from a predictable race, still.

Photographer: Luke MacGregor/Bloomberg
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The Dec. 12 U.K. election will be hugely consequential. An outright victory for Boris Johnson’s Conservatives would all but guarantee the ratification of the Brexit deal. Any other result would likely force the Tories from office, even if they were the largest party, due to the lack of potential coalition partners.

Given the political context, the electoral flux, and the challenges in measuring (let alone forecasting) public opinion in the U.K., the outcome remains highly uncertain. The last few weeks have resolved some of the many complications, I wrote about recently in making predictions, but they have also introduced new ones.