Jonathan Bernstein, Columnist

Democrats Can Thank Trump for Their Midterms Boost

Republicans suffer the consequences of backing one of the most unpopular presidents of the polling era. 

Back as House speaker.

Photographer: Yuri Gripas/Bloomberg

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The polls and projections were basically correct: The Democrats had a very good election night. They’ll gain a House majority for the first time since 2010, and for only the third Congress since 1994, and by a solid margin. They’ll lose some in the Senate, but that’s not because they did badly Tuesday; it’s because Republicans had a large lead, 42 to 23, among the seats that weren’t up this year. That was too much for Democrats to overcome even on a fairly good night.2And Democrats will pick up a few governors, a slew of state legislative seats and some state legislative chambers, and some other down-ballot positions.

Yes, Republicans have some bragging rights. They won quite a few gubernatorial races that were considered tossups, including in Florida, Ohio and (probably) Georgia. And as of early Wednesday they were leading in most of the up-for-grabs Senate contests. The latter is a big deal, because not only will they continue to hold the chamber, but they made their job in 2020 a lot easier. They were worried they would do a lot worse, but they clearly didn’t do as well as they expected two years ago.