Daniel Moss, Columnist

OK, So China Will Surpass the U.S. Economy. Then What?

Experts predict that within just a few decades, China’s growth will slip behind the U.S.

September 2, 2018 at 10:00 PM UTC

Daniel Moss is a Bloomberg Opinion columnist covering Asian economies. Previously, he was executive editor for economics at Bloomberg News.

China’s one-child policy lit the fuse on a demographic bomb.
Photographer: Qilai Shen/Bloomberg

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The U.S. economy will grow a bit faster than China.

Huh? That’s not a typo. It’s one of the projections in a fascinating OECD paper sketching scenarios for the world through 2060. Other developments canvassed: China’s share of global output peaks in the 2030s and then declines while India’s slice keeps rising. Indonesia’s economy catches up to its population.