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Albert R. Hunt

Six U.S. Senate Races to Obsess About

Starting with Florida, Democrats face challenges of arithmetic and geography.

Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri.

Democratic Senator Claire McCaskill of Missouri.

Photographer: Andrew Harrer/Bloomberg

Elections for the U.S. Senate get less attention compared with the House, where control is likely to change hands, based on the latest polls. The odds that Democrats can pull this off in the Senate are maybe only about 25 percent.

This is about arithmetic and geography; 26 of the 35 Senate seats up this year are held by Democrats, with five in heavily Republican states. Republicans currently have a 51-49 advantage.