New Economy

How Nancy Pelosi’s 2022 Taiwan Trip Helped Japan Decide to Rearm

Time and again, history shows the power of unintended consequences.
US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi in 2022 after returning from her visit to Taiwan.Photographer: Ting Shen/Bloomberg
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Time and again, history shows the power of unintended consequences. Today, more than three years after then-US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s controversial trip to Taiwan, a pivotal knock-on effect is only now becoming apparent.

What was widely expected at the time from Pelosi’s visit — the first in a quarter century by one of the most powerful of US political officials — was a sharp reaction in Beijing, where the Communist leadership claims the island as part of its territory. And, indeed, China massively ramped up military exercises around Taiwan, including repeated crossings of a US-defined median line in the Taiwan Strait.