Government Shutdown Drags on With No Sign of It Ending Anytime Soon

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A client pinged me this morning with the question of the hour: “When is the government shutdown going to end?” The predictions market at Polymarket has shifted, and 71% now think it’ll last 30 or more days. And I don’t see any reason why it would end anytime soon. I think the federal employee layoffs announced by the Office of Management and Budget last week only harden Democrats’ resolve, and with President Donald Trump vowing to pay the military on Oct. 15, there isn’t a pressure point yet that will prod Congress toward a resolution.