Five Things

Five Things You Need to Know to Start Your Day: Asia

Bill Hwang, founder of Archegos Capital Management, on July 10, 2024. 

Photographer: Yuki Iwamura/Bloomberg

Record wagers tied to the Fed’s expected rate cut risk sharp losses. Legal scrutiny of banks that lost big on the Archegos collapse ramps up. Steve Cohen is stepping away from the trading floor. —Nicole Bullock

Traders who are locked into record wagers tied to the Federal Reserve’s expected interest-rate cut Wednesday are risking sharp losses if officials opt for a standard-sized quarter-point reduction. Activity in October fed funds futures, which investors are using to bet on this week’s policy meeting, has jumped to the most extreme level of any such contract since the derivative’s inception in 1988, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. The bulk of these new bets are targeting an outsized half-point cut, including a surge of positions put in place this week, the data show.