The Big Take

Japan Bond Crash Unleashes a $7 Trillion Risk for Global Markets

As the country hurtles towards the snap election called by Prime Minister Takaichi, more unpredictable and violent price swings are expected

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi

Photo illustration: 731; Photo: Getty; Graphic: Bloomberg

Days after Japanese bonds crashed, sending tremors through global financial markets, traders were still stunned by the speed and breadth of it all. A quarter-point surge in yields “in a single session,” marveled Pramol Dhawan, a fund manager at Pacific Investment Management Co., “let that sink in.”

In the Japanese government bond market of old, it would take weeks — sometimes months — for yields to eke out, tick by tick, a move of that magnitude. For most of the 21st century, the JGB market was so steady — and interest rates were stuck at such rock-bottom levels — that Tokyo was viewed by investors around the world as a source of both cheap funding and of stability during times of global turmoil.