Australia’s Budget May Lead to Lower Bond Supply, Analysts Say

Australia’s yield curve may flatten and its premium to US Treasuries narrow if the government signals a pullback in bond issuance next year, reflecting more restrained fiscal spending, according to strategists.

Issuance may total A$115 billion ($83.2 billion) in fiscal 2027, down from roughly A$125 billion expected for the current fiscal year, Commonwealth Bank of Australia estimates. Some analysts also say the nation’s debt may become more attractive should the Australian Office of Financial Management adopt a recommendation to lower its cash balance.