Traders Ramp Up Bets Warsh’s Fed Could Hike Rates Before Cutting

Kevin Warsh

Photographer: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg

Bond traders are boosting wagers that the Federal Reserve’s next policy move could be an interest rate hike rather than a cut.

Swaps linked to central bank rate decisions are currently pricing more than a 50% chance that the Fed raises rates by next April, before easing. A growing chorus of traders is also ramping up positions looking to hedge the prospect of rate-hike odds rising by the end of the year.