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Polymarket Steps Into Legal Gray Area by Hosting Trades on War

Polymarket has listed a growing roster of contracts related to active military conflicts. — Polymarket has listed a growing roster of contracts related to active military conflicts.
Photographer: Tetiana Dzhafarova/AFP/Getty Images

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By Denitsa Tsekova

January 14, 2026 at 10:30 AM UTC

Even as prediction-market platforms have tested legal and regulatory norms like never before, most have drawn a line at one category: direct wagers on war.

Not Polymarket.