Wall Street Maintains Bullish Emerging-Markets Outlook for 2026

Pedestrians walk along Wall Street in New York.

Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg

Major Wall Street banks are gearing up for another strong year in emerging markets, predicting that dollar weakness and the investment explosion in artificial intelligence will offer a further boost to the asset class.

Those tailwinds are expected to add to this year’s gains in emerging markets, with bonds in local currencies handing investors a 7% return, the best since 2020, and a currency gauge up more than 6%. The rally should extend, underpinned by the likelihood of more Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts as the US economy slows, according to Morgan Stanley strategists.