Bumper Crops to Ease Cocoa and Coffee Prices, Rabobank Says

Coffee cherries.Photographer: Hector Adolfo Quintanar Perez/Bloomberg

Coffee and cocoa prices are expected to decline next year as bumper harvests boost global surpluses, though agricultural markets remain increasingly vulnerable to geopolitical risks, according to a new Rabobank report.

After this year’s record-breaking rally, arabica coffee prices are projected to stabilize between $2.50 and $3.50 a pound, with short-term volatility likely to persist, Rabobank analysts wrote. Prices surged to a record above $4 earlier this year, driven by concerns over reduced output in top producer Brazil and by US tariffs that have curbed shipments from the South American nation.