Eco Week Ahead

ECB Won’t Flinch Yet in the Shadow of Trump’s Trade War

The European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters beyond containers at a freight terminal in Frankfurt, Germany.

Photographer: Ben Kilb/Bloomberg

The European Central Bank is likely to stare down the economic danger posed by US President Donald Trump’s tariffs by opting to leave a potential cut in borrowing costs for another day.

In their final decision before a seven-week summer break, policymakers on Thursday will probably keep the interest rate unchanged at 2%, pushing off a response to Trump’s threatened tariffs of 30% until they materialize and their impact can be better assessed.