Germany’s Window of Opportunity Is Wide Open But Not for Long

Chancellor Friedrich Merz needs to move fast before headwinds derail his turnaround plans.

Merz’s spending package has potential to add more than €400 billion to Germany’s annual output by 2030.

Photographer: Krisztian Bocsi/Bloomberg

With hundreds of billions of euros in state financing at hand, Chancellor Friedrich Merz has Germany poised for a historic leap. His window of opportunity is real, but it could start closing within a few months.

A debt-fueled spending package — which Merz secured before taking power last month — has potential to add more than €400 billion ($470 billion) to annual output by 2030, according to the German government’s panel of economic advisers. That could boost the average growth rate by 1.6% over that period — slightly more than the trend since reunification in 1990.