Explainer

How Tariffs and OPEC+, Oddly Enough, Are Driving Down the Price of Oil

A refinery at the South Pars Gas-Condensate field in Asalouyeh Seaport, north of the Persian Gulf in Iran.Photographer: Saeid Arabzadeh/AFP/Getty Images

When US President Donald Trump was inaugurated to his second term as president on Jan. 20, oil prices were close to the highs of the summer before. By early May, they had plunged by nearly a quarter.

That’s for two big reasons: Trump’s trade war is driving down economic growth, which hurts oil demand, and the OPEC+ oil cartel announced larger-than-expected output increasesBloomberg Terminal for May and June.