US Population Set to Shrink by 2033 Without Immigration, CBO Says

Without immigration, the US population would begin to shrink in 2033, undermining the nation’s economic growth, the Congressional Budget Office said on Thursday — bringing forward its estimate for that threshold by seven years.

Annual deaths are projected to exceed the number of births in the US just eight years from now, at which point net immigration would drive population growth, according to the CBO’s long-term budget outlook report. Last year, the CBO estimated the US population would begin to shrink in 2040.