Central Banks

Trump’s Trade War Reignites Fed’s ‘Transitory’ Inflation Question

  • Officials say lingering uncertainty supports cautious approach
  • Policymakers may confront both high prices and growth concerns
Summers Calls Trump Tariffs 'Self-Inflicted Wound'Photographer: Daniel Heuer/Bloomberg

President Donald Trump’s rapidly evolving trade war threatens to resurrect an all-too-familiar question for the Federal Reserve: If inflation moves higher, will it be transitory?

Trump’s decision to slap tariffs on America’s largest trading partners — and his vows for more levies — could dampen economic growth and add to already stubborn inflation. But policymakers have made clear the central bank’s reaction will depend on whether they believe the tariffs are stoking a one-time price increase or causing longer-lasting ripple effects.