Indicators
Turkey Set to Exit Recession Just as Rate Cuts Add Economic Push
- Lower borrowing costs seen helping growth accelerate in 2025
- GDP growth data for fourth quarter to be published Friday
Shoppers at the Mahmutpasha market in Istanbul.
Photographer: Kerem Uzel/BloombergThis article is for subscribers only.
Turkey likely emerged from a technical recession in the fourth quarter, supporting analysts’ expectations of stronger growth this year, aided by a cycle of interest-rate cuts from the central bank.
The $1.3 trillion economy likely rose 1.5% quarter-on-quarter, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg survey of nine economists. Turkey fell into a technical recession — a term widely defined as two consecutive quarters of economic contraction — in the previous period after gross domestic product shrank 0.2%.