Eco Week Ahead

Fed-Favored Inflation Gauge Is Set to Ease to Seven-Month Low

  • Euro area’s top economies also publish consumer-price numbers
  • South Korea central bank to cut rate, Israel predicted to hold

Overall personal consumption expenditures inflation likely eased on an annual basis.

Photographer: David Paul Morris/Bloomberg
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The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric is expected to cool to the slowest pace since June, but glacial progress on taming price pressures overall will keep policymakers cautious about lowering interest rates further.

The core personal consumption expenditures price index — which excludes often-volatile food and energy costs — probably rose 2.6% in the year through January in Commerce Department data due on Friday. Overall PCE inflation likely eased on an annual basis as well, according to the median estimate in a Bloomberg survey of economists.