Currencies

Dollar Faces Treacherous December on Trump, Rate Risks

  • US currency has weakened in eight of the last 10 Decembers
  • Foreign-exchange volatility has risen since Trump’s Nov. 5 win
Lock
This article is for subscribers only.

Dollar bulls emboldened by Donald Trump’s win are entering a month that has historically punished the greenback.

The US currency has advanced about 2% since the Nov. 5 election, but seasonality shows the odds are stacked against it from here. The greenback posted losses in eight of the last 10 Decembers, often a victim of year-end portfolio rebalancing flows and the so-called Santa Rally that emboldens traders to sell dollars for riskier assets like stocks.