Indicators
China Population Set for 51 Million Drop as Pro-Birth Moves Fail
- Temporary spike in 2024 births may be short-lived, BI says
- Policymakers in Beijing seen likely to step up pace of reform
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China’s population is expected to shrink by 51 million — more than the size of California — over the next decade as policymakers struggle to reverse the country’s falling birth rate, according to Bloomberg Intelligence.
By 2035, the population is expected to drop to 1.36 billion, levels not seen since 2012, down from a peak of 1.41 billion in 2021, BI senior industry analyst Ada Li estimates.