Bonds

Treasury Traders Are Starting to Bet on Losses for US Bonds

  • Open interest in futures market has collapsed since payrolls
  • JPMorgan clients are net short for first time since April 2023

The US Treasury building in Washington, DC.

Photographer: Kent Nishimura/Bloomberg
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Traders are beginning to bet on losses in the US Treasury market as they adjust for a more gradual pace of Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts.

Since a resilient September jobs report late last week, bond traders have been abandoning long positions in the futures market as part of a broad unwind of bullish wagers that hinged on a series of big rate cuts this year and into early 2025.