The IPO Hopeful’s Dilemma: Cram Into Fall or Wait for ’25

  • Some to test markets as US election narrows available dates
  • Greater China listing slump weighs on global IPO volume
Wall St. in New York.Photographer: Michael Nagle/Bloomberg
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Companies itching to go public face a tough choice as the fall IPO window opens: take the leap with markets near all-time highs, or wait until next year when risks around interest rates and the US election have faded.

The window, roughly the nine-week stretch from Labor Day until the Nov. 5 vote, will likely be the last chance this year for a clutch of the best-prepared companies. Initial public offering bankers and advisers expect the election will freeze activity globally, putting a damper on IPO volume, which is unlikely to overtake last year’s even after bouncing back in the first half from the post-pandemic lull.