Bonds

Citigroup Calls Time on Popular ‘Trump Trade’ in Bond Market

  • Curve steepener trade popularity soared on Biden’s debate flub
  • Trade loses momentum as Trump’s polling slips, less dovish Fed

Citigroup unwound the remainder of the trade as Trump’s odds of winning the Nov. 5 election in the betting market slipped following Kamala Harris’s replacement of Biden as the Democratic nominee. 

Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg
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Citigroup Inc.’s strategists have abandoned a once-popular “Trump trade.”

The bank’s global macro strategy team on Friday recommended clients exit any remaining bets that 30-year Treasuries will underperform five-year notes, after taking profit on half of the position earlier this month. The gap between five-year and 30-year yields has increased to 38 basis points, from around 20 basis points when Citigroup first recommended the trade.