German Industry Has Taken a Permanent Hit, BE Study Shows

  • Estimated 7% shortfall is half cyclical and half structural
  • Potential manufacturing GVA has fallen to 0.5% from 1.5%

A worker screws together components at a factory in Bad Laer, Germany.

Photographer: Ben Kilb/Bloomberg
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Germany’s industry won’t be able to fully shake off the impact from its downturn of the past years, according to researchBloomberg Terminal by Bloomberg Economics.

While expectations are high for a rebound from the hit of the pandemic and the recent energy crisis, Thursday’s analysis now suggests that half of an estimated 7% shortfall in industrial activity will persist.