Five UK Election Scenarios: Is Labour Set for a ‘Supermajority’?
This article is for subscribers only.
UK opinion polls have been remarkably consistent over the six-week general election campaign: The opposition Labour Party is projected to win, and leader Keir Starmer will be Britain’s new prime minister.
Where polls differ is on the scale of victory, and whether Rishi Sunak’s Conservatives face an existential threat after 14 years in power. Below are possible scenarios — including some wildcards — that could unfold on Thursday night. Bookmakers’ odds show the perceived likelihood of each outcome.