Trump Ascendancy Has Morgan Stanley Team Touting Steeper Curve
- US yield curve became less inverted after presidential debate
- Barclays, Nomura also issued calls to factor in a Trump win
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The growing prospect of a Trump presidential victory is making yield curve steepeners an attractive bet as growth will likely slow and inflation quicken under such a scenario, according to Morgan Stanley.
The US presidential debate has strengthened the possibility of Donald Trump’s re-election, and this will sharpen the focus on the former president’s immigration and tariff policies, the bank’s strategists wrote in a June 29 note. Bond traders are bracing for a similar outcome, with the yield discount of 10-year notes over two-year securities shrinking the most since January last week.