Once Avoided Like ‘Plague,’ EM Duration Is Back in Fashion

  • Pictet, VanEck tout long-duration EM bonds ahead of Fed cuts
  • Traders grow more confident on Fed’s path, boosting EM bets

Workers at a facility in San-Pedro, Ivory Coast.

Photographer: Paul Ninson/Bloomberg
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Investors in emerging-market debt are once again turning to long-duration bonds, a popular bet at the end of last year that burnt many of them in the first months of 2024.

Two consecutive months of below-estimate US inflation has revived expectations for rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, triggering a rebound in long-dated sovereign debt after hopes for lower rates had evaporated.