Commodities

US Oil Output to Fall Next Year Unless Rig Counts Rise, Key Energy Investor Says

  • Drop of 1 million barrels per day possible as fields decline
  • Vaughan Nelson exec says $90 oil needed to boost rig counts

An oil drilling rig in Midland, Texas.

Photographer: Sergio Flores/Bloomberg
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US oil production is set to decline about 1 million barrels per day by the second half of 2025 unless rig counts rise, a key energy investor said.

More rigs will be needed to offset declining productivity from existing wells, said Adam Rich, deputy chief investment officer at Vaughan Nelson, a Houston-based investment manager.