Carry Trades Offset AI Stock Inflows in Taiwan Dollar Tug-Of-War

  • Currency may start to weaken again amid carry trade pressures
  • BNP Paribas sees risks biased toward currency falling to 33

Commuters ride an escalator in the Ximending area of Taipei, Taiwan.

Photographer: Brent Lewin/Bloomberg
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Taiwan’s dollar is poised to retest an eight-year low against the greenback as carry trade forces overpower the currency’s equity inflows tailwind.

The Taiwan dollar has slumped more than 5% this year and in April touched its weakest level in relation to the dollar since 2016. But the currency rebounded 0.4% in May, posting its first monthly gain this year.