Four India Election Scenarios and What They Would Mean for Modi
- Investors braced for market slump if BJP fails to win majority
- Modi has predicted his coalition will win more than 400 seats
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In one week, the world will know whether Narendra Modi pulled off his historic bid for a third term as India’s leader. But win or lose, a wide range of possible election outcomes awaits India’s next prime minister — each with different implications for the new government.
In the most hoped-for scenario by the ruling party, Modi is awarded a landslide win, securing the most seats in India’s 543-seat parliament. On the other end is a long-shot upset by the opposition led by the Indian National Congress. In between are scenarios with a more divided government — a tightly won contest that would force Modi to lean heavily on allies, or a fractured coalition government in which the next prime minister must reach across the aisle.