JPMorgan Says BHP Plan Risks $4.3 Billion S. Africa Outflow

  • Developed-market index funds would sell Kumba, Amplats stock
  • Emerging-market index funds wouldn’t buy all that’s available

Anglo American Platinum near Rustenburg, South Africa.

Photographer: Waldo Swiegers/Bloomberg
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A successful takeover of Anglo American Plc under the arrangements BHP Group has offered could lead to outflows of $4.3 billion from South Africa, according to a JPMorgan Chase & Co. analysis.

Such an outflow, if a deal goes ahead, could weaken the rand, which has gained 4.4% against the dollar, the most of 16 major currencies tracked by Bloomberg, over the last five weeks.