Fed Inflation Debate Shifts to How Far Goods Prices Can Drop

  • Powell says ‘we could get more’ while others aren’t so sure
  • Trajectory depends in part on prices of used cars, apparel

A clothing store in New York.

Photographer: Bing Guan/Bloomberg
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As Federal Reserve officials stare down the last mile in their campaign against inflation, one key question is becoming increasingly central to the debate: Will goods prices continue to fall?

Lower prices for everything from apparel to used cars were a major driver of the faster-than-expected downdraft in inflation in the second half of 2023, and a slower pace of price declines since then has contributed to higher readings so far over the first several months of 2024.