Central Banks

Fed’s Uncertain Path Creates Bind for Bank of Canada’s Macklem

  • Divergence between US, Canada rates creates risk for loonie
  • Economists say rates can diverge by maximum of 50 to 100 bps

US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem during a fireside chat at the Wilson Center in Washington on Tuesday.

Photographer: Samuel Corum/Bloomberg
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The Bank of Canada is getting closer to cutting interest rates, but there are limits to how far and how fast it can move without getting a clearer sign from the Federal Reserve.

Governor Tiff Macklem said last week officials are mulling when to cut the bank’s benchmark overnight rate from 5%, and he kept the door open to easing as early as June. With core inflation decelerating, markets are putting the odds of a cut at the next meeting at about two-thirds. A cut in July is fully priced.