Brainard Pushed to Change Biden Rate Forecast to Rosier View

  • Top aide joins meeting, urges lower Treasury rate forecast
  • NEC directors not typically involved in setting forecasts
Lael BrainardPhotographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg
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Joe Biden’s top economic aide, Lael Brainard, successfully pressed to adjust a White House forecast in a way that resulted in a slightly rosier outlook in the president’s forthcoming budget plan, according to people familiar with the matter.

The disagreement was over forecasts for 10-year Treasury yields in the budget, a linchpin estimate that is intertwined with other measures, like debt service costs.