Turkey Lira Bets Show Central Bank Expected to Stay Hawkish

  • New central bank governor said subduing inflation a priority
  • Lira swaps reflect expectations of higher borrowing costs

A selection of Turkish Lira banknotes.

Photographer: Jason Alden/Bloomberg
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Derivatives tied to the Turkish lira are signaling growing expectations for tighter monetary conditions.

The currency’s three-month overnight indexed swap, used to bet on future borrowing costs, rose to 47.50% on Tuesday — extending a move since former New York Federal Reserve economist Fatih Karahan was installed as central bank governor on Saturday after the departure of Hafize Gaye Erkan. The six-month contract showed a similar uptick.