JPMorgan Asset Management Says Fed Rate Cuts May Top Forecasts
- Reasonable base case is 150 basis points of cuts: Mac Gorain
- JPMorgan Asset favors buying five-, seven-, 10-year Treasuries
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The Federal Reserve may end up cutting interest rates more than it’s currently signaling as the US economy slows, driving a rally in shorter-maturity Treasuries, according to JPMorgan Asset Management.
“What the market’s pricing is roughly 1.5% of cuts and that’s probably a reasonable central case,” said Seamus Mac Gorain, head of global rates in London at the money manager, which oversees about $2.9 trillion. “In bad economic outcomes it could be, you know, quite a bit bigger than that.”