Argentina’s Milei Has Narrow Lead Over Massa Ahead of Runoff

  • Outsider backed by 48.5% in poll, economy minister at 44.7%
  • Brazilian firm predicted first-round result better than most
Javier Milei at an election rally in Buenos Aires on Oct. 22.Photographer: Anita Pouchard Serra/Bloomberg
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Libertarian outsider Javier Milei holds an edge over Economy Minister Sergio Massa in Argentina’s Nov. 19 presidential runoff, according to a polling firm whose first-round prediction was among the most accurate.

Brazil-based AtlasIntel, in a survey released Friday, puts Milei’s support at 48.5% compared to 44.7% for Massa, the candidate for the incumbent Peronist government who came in first on Oct. 22. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.