Shifting Bond Yield Curve Scrambles Market’s Recession Signal

  • The yield curve is less inverted after jump in long rates
  • Spurred by strong economic data, it adds a new drag on growth

The US Treasury  in Washington, DC.

Photographer: Al Drago/Bloomberg
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The US bond market is on the move, rapidly shifting from warning of a recession to signaling interest rates are staying higher for longer.

To see the change in sentiment, look no further than the Treasury yield curve — the graph plotting the level of interest rates on federal government bonds maturing anywhere from one month to 30 years.