Weather & Science

Much of Europe Faces Increasing Probability of Warm Winter

  • Copernicus Climate Change Service updates seasonal forecast
  • Hotter temperatures could ease demand for heating fuels

Shoppers in Nuremberg, Germany on October 2.

Photographer: Ben Kilb/Bloomberg
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There is an increasing probability that Europe will experience a significantly warmer winter than usual, potentially reducing the demand for heating fuels.

Data generated by the Copernicus Climate Change Service signals a minimum 50% probability that all of Europe will experience well-above average temperatures between December and February. Countries across the European Union and beyond have a 60% to 70% chance of exceeding median historical temperatures experienced over the last three decades.