The Rise in Oil Prices Is a Problem for Fed’s Soft Landing

  • US central bank often downplays inflation impact of higher oil
  • Latest rise comes as consumers show incipient signs of strain

Traditionally, the Fed has tended to play down the impact of higher oil prices on inflation.

Photographer: Erin Scott/Bloomberg
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The Federal Reserve is confronting a familiar nemesis as it tries to pilot the economy into a rarely-seen soft landing: rising oil prices.

Surging energy costs played a role in tipping the US into recession in the mid-1970s, as well as the early 1980s and 1990s, as they drove up inflation and robbed consumers of purchasing power.