More Ukrainians Who Fled War May Never Return, Study Shows
- As many as 3.3 million may stay abroad, according to CES
- Impact on Ukraine could amount to 6.9% of future GDP per year
Ukrainian refugees at a welcome center in Berlin, Germany, in May.
Photographer: Maja Hitij/Getty Images
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As many as 3.3 million Ukrainians — or almost 8% of the country’s pre-war population — may not return home after fleeing Russia’s invasion, a study showed.
That estimate is up by as many as 600,000 since December, Ukraine’s Center for Economic Strategy said in a report issued Monday, citing a similar study then. The Kyiv-based think tank attributed the increase to the duration of the conflict, now in its 18th month, Russian attacks on Ukraine’s energy infrastructure and growing adaptation to life abroad.