Workers Are Losing Power in the Job Market. That’s Good News for the Fed

  • Labor leverage ratio retraces much of post-pandemic rise
  • Powell says Fed needs to see further loosening of job market

The Federal Reserve is fretting about what they see as a too-hot jobs market.

Photographer: Jessica Pons/Bloomberg
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The balance of power in the jobs market is slowly tilting back toward employers as companies become choosier with their hires and workers turn more cautious about quitting.

A labor leverage ratio developed by ex-senior White House economist Aaron Sojourner that compares the level of quits to layoffs has retraced about two-thirds of the rise seen in 2021 and into 2022. The ratio surged when companies ramped up staffing after pandemic-driven lockdowns and workers were enjoying outsized pay offers for their services.