Inflation & Prices

Near-Term Inflation Expectations Hit Two-Year Low in Fed Survey

  • More US households said finances are worse off than a year ago
  • Consumers said it is becoming more difficult to access credit
Subdued CPI Seen Supporting Fed ‘Skip’
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US consumers’ near-term inflation expectations fell last month to the lowest level in two years as their outlook for personal finances and credit conditions worsened, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey.

Median one-year-ahead inflation expectations declined by 0.3 percentage point to 4.1%, the lowest reading since May 2021. Expectations for inflation three years ahead and five years ahead each increased slightly, by 0.1 percentage point, to 3.0% and 2.7%, respectively, according to the New York Fed’s monthly Survey of Consumer Expectations.