Global Yields Climb as Traders Lean Toward Fed Hike by July

  • Swaps show bets on quarter-point hike through end of the year
  • Key segment of yield curve inverts to level last seen in March

The Marriner S. Eccles Federal Reserve building in Washington, DC.

Photographer: Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg
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Amid a slide in global bonds, the Treasury market briefly restored the full pricing of Federal Reserve tightening by July, which traders expect to be the last interest-rate hike in 2023.

The latest shift in expectations for Fed policy came amid a surge in Treasury yields across the curve. Selling picked up after the Bank of Canada cited stubborn inflation pressures for delivering a quarter-point hike Wednesday and extended into Asia markets Thursday, where short-dated Australian yields hit their highest in more than a decade.